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RESULTS: Republican incumbent Rep. Troy Balderson projected to win against Democrat Alaina Shearer in Ohio’s 12th Congressional District

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After finishing his first full term, GOP Rep. Troy Balderson is projected to win a second term in his House seat against Democratic challenger Alaina Shearer.

The candidates

Balderson is a former state senator and state representative in Ohio, positions he held for 12 years in total. He was first elected to the US House of Representatives in a high-profile 2018 special election held after former Rep. Pat Tiberi announced his resignation from office to lead the Ohio Business Roundtable.

In the special election, Balderson defeated Franklin County Recorder Danny O’Connor by just 0.8 percentage points. He later defeated O’Connor in the 2018 midterm election by 4.2 percentage points. In Congress, Balderson serves on the Committees on Science, Space & Technology, Small Business, and Transportation & Infrastructure.

Shearer, Balderson’s Democratic challenger, is a former radio reporter and news anchor and winner of two Associated Press awards. She is the founder of a small business which connects women in digital media, now known as Together Digital. Shearer is running her campaign on growing small businesses in Ohio, supporting the passage of the Equality Act, and legalizing marijuana.

A recent internal poll conducted for Shearer’s campaign by Public Policy Polling from October 14-15 found Balderson leading Shearer by four points, 48% to 44%, among registered voters.

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The district

Ohio’s 12th Congressional District is located in the central region of the state outside of the city of Columbus and is home to all of Delaware, Morrow, and Licking counties, as well as parts of Franklin, Marion, Richland, and Muskingum counties.

For the 2016 presidential election, the 12th District voted for now-President Donald Trump over Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton by nine points, 53% to 42%, according to Daily Kos.

The money race

According to the Center for Responsive Politics, Balderson has raised over $1.9 million, spent over $1.3 million, and has over $654,000 in cash on hand while Shearer has raised over $915,000, spent a little over $776,000, and has $138,000 in cash on hand.

What some of the experts said

The race between Balderson and Shearer was rated as “safe Republican” by Inside Elections and “likely Republican” by the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball at the University of Virginia Center for Politics.

Balderson, who was first elected in a 2018 special election, is projected to win against Democratic challenger Shearer, a former journalist.

Ohio Election Results: 12th Congressional District

Updated Nov. 24, 2020, 1:05 AM ET

Ohio Election Results: 12th Congressional District

98% of the estimated vote total has been reported.

Timing of results: Postmarked ballots have until Nov. 13 to arrive, but no additional results will be reported reported for at least a week and a half after the election. Counties may report their full official count after their vote canvass, due by Nov. 18, but full statewide results will not be available until final certification, due by Nov. 28.

Results by county

Note: Absentee vote data may not be available in some places.

Absentee votes by candidate

Some states and counties will report candidate vote totals for mail-in ballots, but some places may not report comprehensive vote type data.

Candidate Absentee/early votes Votes Pct.
Balderson 12,956 59.5 %
Shearer 8,232 37.8 %
Stewart 598 2.7 %
Total reported 21,786

14% of counties (1 of 7) have reported absentee votes. Data for absentee votes may not be available in some places.

Latest updates

Michael D. Shear, in Washington Nov. 23, 2020

President Trump authorized his government to begin the transition to President-elect Joseph R. Biden Jr.’s administration. Read more ›

Read our analysis of the vote

Latest updates

Michael D. Shear, in Washington Nov. 23, 2020

President Trump authorized his government to begin the transition to President-elect Joseph R. Biden Jr.’s administration. Read more ›

Kathleen Gray, in Bloomfield Hills, Mich. Nov. 23, 2020

Michigan’s top elections board voted to certify the election results, a blow to President Trump, who had been trying to subvert Joe Biden’s win there. Read more ›

Richard Fausset, in Atlanta Nov. 20, 2020

Georgia’s secretary of state has certified President-elect Joseph R. Biden Jr.’s victory in the state, dealing a blow to President Trump’s bid to overturn the election. Read more ›

Richard Fausset, in Atlanta Nov. 19, 2020

President-elect Joseph R. Biden Jr.’s victory in Georgia was reaffirmed after the state finished its recount of nearly five million ballots with few meaningful vote changes. Read more ›

Stephanie Saul, in New York Nov. 13, 2020

Biden is the first Democratic presidential candidate to carry Georgia since Bill Clinton in 1992. Even as a recount begins in the state, Biden leads by more than 14,000 votes. See Georgia results ›

Matt Stevens, in New York Nov. 13, 2020

Trump’s narrow victory in North Carolina does not affect the overall outcome of the race, which Biden won Saturday after crossing the threshold of 270 Electoral College votes. See North Carolina results ›

Nate Cohn, in New York Nov. 13, 2020

It’s final: Joe Biden wins 306 electoral votes, Donald Trump wins 232. Biden wins Georgia. Trump wins North Carolina. Read more ›

Jennifer Medina Nov. 12, 2020

For the first time in decades, Arizona has voted for a Democrat for president. Bill Clinton won the state in 1996, and he had been the only Democrat to do so since Truman. Read more ›

Nate Cohn, in New York Nov. 12, 2020

The races in Arizona and Georgia have not been called by several TV networks, but they’re essentially over. Here’s why ›

Nicholas Fandos Nov. 11, 2020

Senator Thom Tillis of North Carolina capitalized on unexpected Republican strength in a crucial swing state to defeat a Democrat damaged by revelations of an extramarital affair. Read more ›

Maggie Astor, in New York Nov. 11, 2020

Biden’s popular vote lead has surpassed five million, putting him 3.4 percentage points ahead of Trump. This is significantly larger than Hillary Clinton’s 2.9 million, 2.1-point margin in 2016.

Glenn Thrush, in Washington Nov. 11, 2020

Georgia will conduct a hand recount, a move requested by the Trump campaign. State officials have said it is unlikely to erase Biden’s narrow but significant lead there. Read more ›

Carl Hulse, in Washington Nov. 11, 2020

Senator Dan Sullivan’s victory in Alaska moves Republicans closer to holding the Senate. Two Georgia runoffs will decide Senate control. Read more ›

Source: Election results from National Election Pool/Edison Research

By Michael Andre, Aliza Aufrichtig, Gray Beltran, Matthew Bloch, Larry Buchanan, Andrew Chavez, Nate Cohn, Matthew Conlen, Annie Daniel, Asmaa Elkeurti, Andrew Fischer, Josh Holder, Will Houp, Jonathan Huang, Josh Katz, Aaron Krolik, Jasmine C. Lee, Rebecca Lieberman, Ilana Marcus, Jaymin Patel, Charlie Smart, Ben Smithgall, Umi Syam, Rumsey Taylor, Miles Watkins and Isaac White

Additional data collection by Alice Park, Rachel Shorey, Thu Trinh and Quoctrung Bui

Candidate photo research and production by Earl Wilson, Alana Celii, Lalena Fisher, Yuriria Avila, Amanda Cordero, Laura Kaltman, Andrew Rodriguez, Alex Garces, Chris Kahley, Andy Chen, Chris O’Brien, Jim DeMaria, Dave Braun and Jessica White

See full results and maps from the Ohio election. ]]>