RESULTS: Republican incumbent Rep. Troy Balderson projected to win against Democrat Alaina Shearer in Ohio’s 12th Congressional District
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After finishing his first full term, GOP Rep. Troy Balderson is projected to win a second term in his House seat against Democratic challenger Alaina Shearer.
The candidates
Balderson is a former state senator and state representative in Ohio, positions he held for 12 years in total. He was first elected to the US House of Representatives in a high-profile 2018 special election held after former Rep. Pat Tiberi announced his resignation from office to lead the Ohio Business Roundtable.
In the special election, Balderson defeated Franklin County Recorder Danny O’Connor by just 0.8 percentage points. He later defeated O’Connor in the 2018 midterm election by 4.2 percentage points. In Congress, Balderson serves on the Committees on Science, Space & Technology, Small Business, and Transportation & Infrastructure.
Shearer, Balderson’s Democratic challenger, is a former radio reporter and news anchor and winner of two Associated Press awards. She is the founder of a small business which connects women in digital media, now known as Together Digital. Shearer is running her campaign on growing small businesses in Ohio, supporting the passage of the Equality Act, and legalizing marijuana.
A recent internal poll conducted for Shearer’s campaign by Public Policy Polling from October 14-15 found Balderson leading Shearer by four points, 48% to 44%, among registered voters.
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The district
Ohio’s 12th Congressional District is located in the central region of the state outside of the city of Columbus and is home to all of Delaware, Morrow, and Licking counties, as well as parts of Franklin, Marion, Richland, and Muskingum counties.
For the 2016 presidential election, the 12th District voted for now-President Donald Trump over Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton by nine points, 53% to 42%, according to Daily Kos.
The money race
According to the Center for Responsive Politics, Balderson has raised over $1.9 million, spent over $1.3 million, and has over $654,000 in cash on hand while Shearer has raised over $915,000, spent a little over $776,000, and has $138,000 in cash on hand.
What some of the experts said
The race between Balderson and Shearer was rated as “safe Republican” by Inside Elections and “likely Republican” by the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball at the University of Virginia Center for Politics.
Balderson, who was first elected in a 2018 special election, is projected to win against Democratic challenger Shearer, a former journalist.Ohio Election Results: 12th Congressional District
Updated Nov. 24, 2020, 1:05 AM ET
Ohio Election Results: 12th Congressional District
98% of the estimated vote total has been reported.
Timing of results: Postmarked ballots have until Nov. 13 to arrive, but no additional results will be reported reported for at least a week and a half after the election. Counties may report their full official count after their vote canvass, due by Nov. 18, but full statewide results will not be available until final certification, due by Nov. 28.
Results by county
Note: Absentee vote data may not be available in some places.
Absentee votes by candidate
Some states and counties will report candidate vote totals for mail-in ballots, but some places may not report comprehensive vote type data.
| Candidate | Absentee/early votes Votes | Pct. |
|---|---|---|
| Balderson | 12,956 | 59.5 % |
| Shearer | 8,232 | 37.8 % |
| Stewart | 598 | 2.7 % |
| Total reported | 21,786 |
14% of counties (1 of 7) have reported absentee votes. Data for absentee votes may not be available in some places.
Latest updates
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Read our analysis of the vote
Latest updates
Michael D. Shear, in Washington Nov. 23, 2020
President Trump authorized his government to begin the transition to President-elect Joseph R. Biden Jr.’s administration. Read more ›
Kathleen Gray, in Bloomfield Hills, Mich. Nov. 23, 2020
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Richard Fausset, in Atlanta Nov. 20, 2020
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Richard Fausset, in Atlanta Nov. 19, 2020
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Stephanie Saul, in New York Nov. 13, 2020
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Matt Stevens, in New York Nov. 13, 2020
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Nate Cohn, in New York Nov. 13, 2020
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Maggie Astor, in New York Nov. 11, 2020
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Glenn Thrush, in Washington Nov. 11, 2020
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Carl Hulse, in Washington Nov. 11, 2020
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Source: Election results from National Election Pool/Edison Research
By Michael Andre, Aliza Aufrichtig, Gray Beltran, Matthew Bloch, Larry Buchanan, Andrew Chavez, Nate Cohn, Matthew Conlen, Annie Daniel, Asmaa Elkeurti, Andrew Fischer, Josh Holder, Will Houp, Jonathan Huang, Josh Katz, Aaron Krolik, Jasmine C. Lee, Rebecca Lieberman, Ilana Marcus, Jaymin Patel, Charlie Smart, Ben Smithgall, Umi Syam, Rumsey Taylor, Miles Watkins and Isaac White
Additional data collection by Alice Park, Rachel Shorey, Thu Trinh and Quoctrung Bui
Candidate photo research and production by Earl Wilson, Alana Celii, Lalena Fisher, Yuriria Avila, Amanda Cordero, Laura Kaltman, Andrew Rodriguez, Alex Garces, Chris Kahley, Andy Chen, Chris O’Brien, Jim DeMaria, Dave Braun and Jessica White
See full results and maps from the Ohio election. ]]>